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And
pick up the mail for the marquee folks. And don't forget the laundry.
What if the Art Directors didn't get in by 11am? Or 12 noon? Or
back from lunch by 3pm, or 4pm? What if the web gals didn't work
until 2am? What if nobody worked until 2am? Because nobody was left
to work in advertising any more.
The
messenger services could busy themselves delivering, oh...Pizza.
The production companies could do...oh...Reality Shows...But wait...there
wouldn't be any Reality Shows. Because there wouldn't be any network
television...Or would there?
"Would the the 30 million folks who voted on last weeks "American
Idol" please put one dollar in the FoxTV Pay Pal account to
find out who went on and who went home, Seacrest out!" Oh,
I think Network TV would weather the storm.
Well
what about all of those out of work TV commercial actors? Are there
that many openings for waiters in Hollywood...or Beverly Hills...or
Reseda? How about Ft. Wayne...or Cleveland...or Altoona, PA?
What
if all 424, 876 of us who work in advertising according to the Department
of Labor simply didn't show up for work? Would anyone miss us but
our mortgage companies? And our hair stylists? And our tailors at
Brioni, or salesclerks at the Gap?
I
know the kids at Starbucks would notice the lines were a lot shorter.
But what about the analysts at Merrill Lynch? The shares of the
world's largest agency company in revenue, the Omnicom Group, were
down13.8 percent from their five-year peak a few weeks back. Maybe
not.
Staples
would be hard hit, I'm sure. We push a forest full of bond paper
through advertising agencies every day. A copper mine full of paperclips.
Let's see. Who else would be effected by the fact we were no longer...available?
Nat Ives at the New York Times? Nat would be pissed. "Nobody
told me. What's up with that?" And Adweek. Can you see the
headlines? "Advertising: Where is it going? Where has it gone?
Imagine
walking through 285 Madison Avenue, or 35 West Wacker Drive, or
5353 Grosvenor Blvd...and hearing nothing but the phones ringing.
Over and over and over again. What could have happened to make all
these people, none of whom look like Elvis, leave their respective
buildings? What will become of the Clios? Or the One Show? Or Heaven
forbid...Cannes? Oh...the humanity!
Dare
we even search for clues? Did the disappearance of agencies like
N.W. Ayer; Bates; Bozell; D'Arcy Masius Benton & Bowles; Earle Palmer
Brown; Lintas; Warwick Baker O'Neill hold some hidden significance?
Probably not.
Digital
video recorders, iPods, satellite radio? Ad evading technology?
Naaah? We're too smart to let something like that even matter. Ask
anybody. No. This is something big. I mean, nobody is answering
the phone at J.Walter Thompson, fer Chrissakes.
Lauren
Rich Fine, an analyst who follows the ad industry for Merrill Lynch,
was quoted in the New York Times last month as saying, "I used to
think the agencies were capable of double-digit revenue growth each
year, but now I look at them as mid-to-high single digits." And
now this. I think Ms. Rich Fine has some explaining to do. Naysayer.
Wait
a minute. Wait just one minute there mister. What's wrong with this
picture? 424,867 highly talented individuals cease to exist and
not one word of remorse from those who have the most to loose by
their sudden disappearance. Their Clients.
O.K.
Clients have been facing relentless competition and consolidation
in categories like automobiles, fast food and telecommunications.
They have been ruthless in squeezing every nickel of waste from
their advertising budgets.
"There's
an incredible ability to cling to what's been done because there's
a comfort in that," according to Ian B. Rowden, executive vice president
and chief marketing officer for the Wendy's brand. "There's a lot
of talk but less action, The old model still drives a lot of things."
Sounds like motive for mayhem to me. Certainly, no signs of remorse
in that guy. After all those really cool gifts from Tiffany's too.
Hmmm.
I wonder if they're hiring at AOL?
Stay
tuned.
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